Bahia vs Sao Paulo

Brazil Serie A prediction, odds, head to head and form guide

Brazil Serie A
Thu, Oct 29 2026 01:30 Arena Fonte Nova, El Salvador
Bahia

Bahia

3 - 2 Full time
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

Expert Prediction

Double Chance X2 (1.78)
Probability 56%
Score 3:2

Match Probability

Home 10% 1.91
Draw 45% 3.80
Away 45% 3.92

Tips for this match

Double Chance

X2

56% 1.78

Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.5

69% 1.45

Draw No Bet

Home DNB

71% 1.41

Correct Score

CS 1-0

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Team Comparison

Bahia Sao Paulo
36% Form 64%
38% Attack 63%
46% Defence 54%
29% Head to head 71%
31% Goals 69%
41% Overall 59%

Head to Head

  • May 3, 2026 Brazil: Serie A
    Sao Paulo Bahia
    2 2
  • Oct 26, 2025 Brazil: Serie A
    Sao Paulo Bahia
    2 0
  • May 31, 2025 Brazil: Serie A
    Bahia Sao Paulo
    2 1
  • Nov 6, 2024 Brazil: Serie A
    Bahia Sao Paulo
    0 3
  • Jun 30, 2024 Brazil: Serie A
    Sao Paulo Bahia
    3 1
  • Nov 30, 2023 Brazil: Serie A
    Bahia Sao Paulo
    0 1

Bahia — Last 5

  • Oct 29, 2026 Brazil: Serie A
    Bahia Sao Paulo
    3 2
    W
  • Oct 25, 2026 Brazil: Serie A
    Santos Bahia
    1 1
    D
  • Oct 18, 2026 Brazil: Serie A
    Bahia Flamengo
    0 3
    L
  • Oct 11, 2026 Brazil: Serie A
    Bahia Mirassol
    1 0
    W
  • Oct 9, 2026 Brazil: Serie A
    Palmeiras Bahia
    1 0
    L

Sao Paulo — Last 5

  • Oct 29, 2026 Brazil: Serie A
    Bahia Sao Paulo
    3 2
    L
  • Oct 24, 2026 Brazil: Serie A
    Mirassol Sao Paulo
    1 1
    D
  • Oct 18, 2026 Brazil: Serie A
    Sao Paulo Vasco DA Gama
    1 0
    W
  • Oct 11, 2026 Brazil: Serie A
    Sao Paulo Vitoria
    2 1
    W
  • Oct 8, 2026 Brazil: Serie A
    Cruzeiro Sao Paulo
    2 0
    L

Serie A Table

# Team GP W D L G GD Pts
1 Flamengo 33 22 7 4 68:28 +40 73
2 Palmeiras 33 20 10 3 56:22 +34 70
3 Cruzeiro 33 17 6 10 52:46 +6 57
4 Fluminense 33 15 9 9 52:42 +10 54
5 Atletico Paranaense 33 15 9 9 50:40 +10 54
6 Bahia 33 14 11 8 48:42 +6 53
7 Atletico-MG 33 14 8 11 44:39 +5 50
8 Santos 33 12 11 10 49:47 +2 47
9 RB Bragantino 33 12 8 13 42:38 +4 44
10 Sao Paulo 33 12 7 14 39:39 0 43
11 Botafogo 33 10 9 14 45:53 -8 39
12 Coritiba 32 10 9 13 38:50 -12 39
13 Vasco DA Gama 32 10 8 14 40:49 -9 38
14 Vitoria 32 10 8 14 35:46 -11 38
15 Gremio 33 9 10 14 37:44 -7 37
16 Mirassol 32 9 10 13 37:45 -8 37
17 Internacional 33 8 11 14 37:42 -5 35
18 Corinthians 32 8 9 15 34:42 -8 33
19 Remo 33 6 11 16 36:51 -15 29
20 Chapecoense-sc 32 4 9 19 32:66 -34 21

Conclusion

Bahia host Sao Paulo in the Serie A on Thursday, October 29. Our pick for this match is X2 at odds of 1.78, with an estimated 56% probability. Data model advice: Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo. Always bet responsibly and only stake what you can afford to lose.