This Week Draw Predictions for Premier League
All of this week’s draw predictions for the Premier League campaign are shared on this page. These are the matches in the EPL that our experts foresee a tie in.
Every new round of games, the picks are updated so check back before the matchday and you will find new selections for free.
These prediction comes from analysts working with AI data and their professional experience to find the best opportunities to inform your betting.
What You’ll Find in Our EPL Draw Picks
Draws are one of the hardest calls to make in football which is why many tipsters understandably avoid them. Here, we don’t.
Each week, we go through every Premier League fixture and only list the games where a draw has a genuine case. For each pick, you are going to find:
- The match and kick-off time
- Our draw prediction and the current draw odds
- The scoreline we think is most likely if the game ends level, such as 0-0 or 1-1
Some weeks, you will find seveal draws while others may produce a draw or two. We would rather provide a few strong picks than fill the page for the sake of it.
Furthermore, along with these draw predictions, you will find draw no bet tips and double chance predictions. The draw no bet returns your stake when a draw happens and the double chance (1X or X2) wins even if a straight win happens for either the home side (1) or the away side (2).
How We Pick Premier League Draws
The general idea about a draw is that it happens between two teams playing each other that are close on the table. That’s one of many factors. Our analysts spot specific signs that go beyond that.
They include:
- Evenly matched sides: When you have teams with similar form, squad strength and home or away records, you can expect them to cancel each other out.
- Low-scoring teams: When both sides struggle to create chances or do not concede all the time, a 0-0 or 1-1 becomes far more likely.
- Cautious game plans: Some managers set up not to lose, which is something you see among so many sides that are relegation-threatened. They set up defensively away from home against stronger opponents.
- A point suits both teams: If there is a tight relegation battle, both sides are often happy to take a point.
- Tired legs: If both teams played in Europe or in a cup competition, their weekend fixture could be approached with tired legs and fatigue. A possible draw could be lurking.
When we spot these teams, our AI model then checks each candidate on our years of Premier League data, including how often that match has ended level in the past.
If draws are commonplace, agreed upon by our algorithm and experts, then the fixture gets the nod for publication.
Why Draw Predictions Can Offer Strong Value
From our statistics, one in every four or five EPL matches end in a draw. Yet the draw is the result bettors back the least.
And that works in your favor.
That’s because bookmakers will usually price the draw above 3 odds so one correct pick can return more than a whole slip of short-priced favorites.
Draws make sense in games where you cannot separate the two teams. Instead of forcing who wins, a draw prediction lets you back what the evidence suggests.
Generally, few punters look for draws and the odds on them are often more generous than the real chance of a level score happening.
Our goal is to find those gaps that lead to the outcome.
How to Use This Week’s Draw Predictions
Home/away win predictions do not follow the same rules as draws. The approach also needs to be different for you as a bettor. The following are things you might want to note:
Bet singles or small doubles
Draws are high stakes calls so putting 5 or 6 games together is a rare thing. One or two draws can play out though.
Spread a smaller stake
Instead of putting all your money into a single draw outcome, we recommend splitting your stake across a few of our picks. It is possible for one correct result to cover the others.
Take the price before kick-off
You want to make sure you place your bet long before the game begins. If the game starts, the price of a draw gets smaller.
Use related markets
Not entirely convinced about a draw happening? You can get more cover by going with under 2.5 goals or double chance while favoring the side you think will win.
For bigger odds, try the correct score of 1-1 or 0-0.
Premier League Fixtures Where Draws Often Happen
There are matches where it is almost certain that draws will happen. Some of them include:
- Derbies such as the Merseyside derby, M23 Derby, and Tyne-Wear derby.
- Games between teams at the bottom half of the table
- Matches where a big club is visiting a smaller side with very organized defensive setup
- Fixtures between two teams with a solid win form
These are not automatic draws, but they are the matches we study most closely each week.
Frequently Asked Questions
Which Premier League games are most likely to end in a draw this week?
You can find the Premier League games that are most likely going to end in a draw for the week at the top of this page.
What is the most common draw score in the Premier League?
1-1 and 0-0 are the most common draw scorelines in the Premier League. Some derbies see 2-2 draws sometimes.
Are Premier League draw predictions reliable?
If by reliable you mean guaranteed to win, the answer is no. The EPL draw predictions for this week that we offer you are expected to give you some insights into the games we believe are going to end in a tie.
